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Carville Says New Book Will Discuss Demographic Change, Problems With Hillary Campaign

James Carville’s forthcoming new book about changing political demographics will discuss some of the Hillary campaign’s failings, as well as the private reactions of senior Hillary people to the campaign’s darker moments, Carville confirmed to me moments ago.

The book — whose title is “40 More Years: How the Democrats Will Rule the Next Generation” — is largely a tract about how demographic shifts portend a lasting Democratic ascendancy, Carville said. But Carville — a longtime close friend of both Clintons — offered some tantalizing hints about other parts of the book, confirming that he’d also delve into sensitive aspects of the Hillary campaign.

“We talk about what happened in the presidential primaries,” Carville told me. “It’s praiseworthy of her, but I do discuss what I think are some of the reasons she might have come up a little bit short.”

Asked for an example, Carville said: “Obviously there were some strategic considerations in terms of the delegate map that didn’t pan out very well for her.” Carville added that the book has “a provocative thing or two” to say about the campaign.

Carville also said he’d be discussing an episode in which he personally witnessed the private reactions of “very senior people” within the campaign to revelations that the campaign was having severe money problems in 2007.

“People internally had discovered that the campaign had spent a lot of money,” Carville said. “The book will go into the not particularly happy reaction some very senior people had to that.” Asked who he was talking about, Carville demurred, and joked: “if I sound like I’m being evasive, it’s because I am.”

The bulk of the book, which was co-written with democratic operative Rebecca Buckwalter-Poza, will be about how decades-long electoral trends, including the rise of the youth vote and the decline of the white vote, favors Dems.

“The book is as much about the 2048 election as 2008,” Buckwalter-Poza tells me. “It maps the American political landscape of the past few years, and then takes on the next forty years — Cajun-style.”

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Posted by Greg Sargent | 02/23/2009, 04:12 PM EST | Categories: Hillary Clinton

7 Responses

  1. Danp | February 23rd, 2009 at 05:03 pm

    Severe money problems in 2007? It may be my memory, but Patti Solis Doyle didn’t resign until Feb ‘08, and I was under the impression the money issue had just arisen. Was Hillary still using a private jet from Dec to Feb, while media, staff, etc were in another jet?

  2. Ben | February 23rd, 2009 at 05:05 pm

    Judas!

  3. Steve | February 23rd, 2009 at 05:12 pm

    Pride cometh before a fall . . . I wouldn’t make any assumptions about the next 40 years. Just 4 years ago, the Dems looked like they were dead ducks and now they look okay. Give it time . . .

  4. eric | February 23rd, 2009 at 06:00 pm

    It’s kinda sad to have to write about the next 40 years of politics – when you’re not invited to participate in that. I’d feel sorry fo him if he wasn’t such a dick.

  5. troy | February 23rd, 2009 at 06:34 pm

    carville is right, if you check the social security adm. and census websites you will see the true census estimated figures for 2010 and it will state that the current racial makeup of the u.s. is 56% white and 44% black, latin, asian and arabs, native americans and mixed origins.

    you will also fing that 3 years ago a CBO report stated that despite a possible recession (at that time was coming) the minority populations buying power has exceeded the buying power of whites.

    so carville is right, in 2008 obama won a landslide while losing the white male vote by 20 points and the white female vote by 5% and the overall white vote by 13%. he won one of the biggest landslides in history while losing the white vote.

    in the last 5 elections dems have won the majority of the electorate 4 times including in 2000. and every time the black voting turnout has exceeded 60% the dems have won since 1976.

    again carville is correct, right now half of all of the children younger than 5 years old are minorities that inlcudes kids with a single white parent and another parent of color, so by 2020 the nation will be majority minority. politically black and latinos have never voted majority republican since the parties shifted in the 1960’s

    and thank god for that.

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